ACC Football Projection: Virginia Tech's Travon McMillian

After positive feedback on my first projection article on Duke's Daniel Jones and FSU's Deondre Francois, I decided to take requests on twitter.  First up, Virginia Tech running back Travon McMillian. 

Let's first take a look his sophomore stats...

Now let's take a look at some ACC players with comparable numbers during their sophomore season.

Now let's take a look at how those same comps performed in their junior seasons.

Now, we'll look at the percentage growth for each of the players from their sophomore to junior seasons.

Trends

• Unfortunately, nothing definitive about this sample.
• In a couple cases (Laskey/Thornton), less usage but more production in the endzone.
• In a couple other cases (Sims/Radcliff), we see less usage across the board.
• Finally, we have a couple cases of breakout seasons (Freeman/Finch), although one cut short due to injury for Rolandan Finch (if memory serves).

Projection

• This was a tough call, but I modeled McMillian after Laskey and Thornton largely based upon style.
• I predicted at 15% reduction in carries and yards.
• I prediction a 20% increase in TDs.

Thanks to @KyleBaileyWFNZ for the request.  If you have a player you would like me to consider, make a request to @scacchoops on twitter.  The only request I have is that it be a returning offensive skill player.