Here’s a little Bubble analysis because you need to be up on this stuff as college football just came to an end for 2012… Here goes.
In my ranking system, any RPI top (100) win is a good win and any RPI top (50) obviously worth more. Any losses outside the RPI top (100) is considered a bad loss, and outside the RPI (150) are even more damaging. I’m not counting future results only if I think a team would make the NCAA’s if selections were made the day of the post.
Teams get a “*” for top 50 good wins or “*” greater 150 losses.
My RPI rankings come from, CBSSportsline.com.
This is going to be a weekly article, where I seed the ACC teams where I think they’d placed if the tournament started the same day as my posting.
Locks
(1) Duke (14-0) (1-0) Projected Seed 1
Last 10 – (10-0)
Good Wins – * (7) Minnesota, * (9) Louisville, * (31) VCU, * (42) Ohio St, * (28) Temple, (93) Florida Gulf Coast, (62) Kentucky, (67) Santa Clara, (98) Davidson
Bad Losses -None
Notes – Jan 12 at NC State is one of the ACC’s biggest games of the year.
(16) North Carolina State (12-2) (1-0) Projected Seed 4
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – * (27) Connecticut, * (47) Massachusetts, (80) Stanford, (60) Western Michigan
Bad Losses – None
Notes – The Wolfpack got a scare at Boston College, and having been flying a little bit under the radar. If they can beat Duke they can get back into top 3 seed picture.
(8) Miami (10-3) (1-0) Projected Seed 6
Last 10 – (8-2)
Good Wins – (84) UNC Charlotte, * (22) Michigan St., * (47) Massachusetts, (51) LaSalle
Bas Losses – None
Notes – That was a really solid looking win at Georgia Tech. LaSalle was a strong win too.
(43) North Carolina (10-4) (0-1) Projected Seed 10
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (78) McNeese St., (23) UNLV
Bad Losses – (127) Texas, (134) Virginia
Notes – The loss at Virginia was a setback. This may be the best the Tar Heels are this year.
(67) Maryland (13-1) (1-0) Projected Seed 10
Last 10 – (10-0)
Good Wins – (80) George Mason, (91) Stony Brook
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Florida State and Miami this week provide the Terps some of their better tests of the season.
Bubble But In
NONE
Bubble But Out
(71) Florida State (9-5) (1-0)
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (61) St. Josephs, * (30) BYU, (84) Charlotte
Bad Losses – * (211) South Alabama, * (172) Mercer, * (226) Auburn
Notes – If Florida State had beat Auburn this past week to stand at 10-4, I probably would have snuck them into the tournament.
(134) Virginia (11-3) (1-0)
Last 10 – (9-1)
Good Wins – (74) Tennessee, (90) Wisconsin, (43) North Carolina
Bad Losses – * (155) Delware, * (309) Old Dominion
Notes – Huge win over North Carolina this past weekend. There are some quality wins there. Virginia can get to the Big Dance if they can find a to 21 or 22 wins.
(126) Georgia Tech (10-3) (0-1)
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – (87) St. Marys.
Bad Losses – None
Notes – Georgia Tech blew a big opportunity by losing to Miami (badly) at home. They are just about off the bubble.
Only if they win the ACC Tournament
(137) Virginia Tech (9-5) (0-1)
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – (35) Oklahoma St, (76) Iowa
Bad Losses – *(253) Georgia Southern, (105) West Virginia
Notes – More and more I have no idea how this team was able to beat Oklahoma St.
(142) Boston College (8-6) (0-1)
Last 10 – (7-3)
Good Wins – NONE
Bad Losses – (146) Bryant
Notes – Boston College nearly pulled off a monster upset over NC State. Keep an eye on the Eagles they are playing well lately.
(157) Wake Forest (7-6) (0-1)
Last 10 – (5-5)
Good Wins – None
Bad Losses – (120) Iona, (119) Richmond
Notes – Beating Xavier this past week is a sign this Deac might be gradually improving.
(204) Clemson (8-5) (0-1)
Last 10 – (6-4)
Good Wins – (85) UTEP
Bad Losses – (149) Purdue, * (257) Coastal Carolina
Notes – Clemson just couldn’t lose to Florida State at home. I don’t give the Tigers have any chance to make a serious post-season run. There just isn’t any talent there.
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