The explosions & loud noises you heard last night weren't any kind of storm or construction, it was Wolfpack nation going into panic mode as NC State lost at Wake Forest 86-84. It wasn't just a loss, it was a collapse for the Pack. NC State held a 47-35 halftime lead, and not only lost that lead but trailed by double-figures in the 2nd half to Wake Forest. Check out this graph of Offensive Efficiency for both teams. NC State's offensive efficiency is charted is in blue, Wake Forest in green. You can see NC State started out scoring very efficiently but Wake Forest started to turn things around late in the 1st half. What changed?
Here's another chart, this time a look at offensive rebound percentage. Once again, NC State is charted in blue, while Wake is in green. First, notice that Wake Forest quickly makes up an advantage late in the 1st half on their defensive glass. By early in the 2nd half NC State's advantage is gone, but Wake Forest doesn't stop there taking the lead in offensive rebounding percentage only to lose the lead late in the game.
The other obvious issue for NC State is their defense. NC State is now ranked 156th in adjusted defensive efficiency (kenpom.com). Using Luke Winn's recent article, since 2002-3 no team with a defensive efficiency ranking greater than 101 has made it to the final 8. NC State has to figure the defense out or it will be an early exit for them in March.
Wake Forest fans, the good news is its a great win, the bad news if you're one of the #BuzzOut people, Bzdelik just added some job security with that win.
In the other game of the night, Maryland beat BC at home 64-59. Check out the links below for the recap of that one and a look ahead to tonight's games.
Game Sim Predictions
Duke at Miami - Duke wins 65-64 Sim the game here
Georgia Tech at UNC - UNC wins 67-65 Sim the game here
Wake Forest/NC State Highlights
Boston College/Maryland Highlights
Duke/Miami Preview from #ACCLive
| Team | Conf | Pct | Overall | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 4-0 | 1.000 | 13-3 | 0.813 |
| Duke | 3-1 | 0.750 | 16-1 | 0.941 |
| NC State | 4-2 | 0.667 | 15-4 | 0.789 |
| Maryland | 3-3 | 0.500 | 15-4 | 0.789 |
| Wake Forest | 3-3 | 0.500 | 10-8 | 0.556 |
| Virginia | 2-2 | 0.500 | 12-5 | 0.706 |
| UNC | 2-2 | 0.500 | 12-5 | 0.706 |
| Virginia Tech | 2-2 | 0.500 | 11-6 | 0.647 |
| FSU | 2-2 | 0.500 | 10-7 | 0.588 |
| Clemson | 2-3 | 0.400 | 10-7 | 0.588 |
| Boston College | 1-4 | 0.200 | 9-9 | 0.500 |
| Georgia Tech | 0-4 | 0.000 | 10-6 | 0.625 |
 Injury Report |
|---|
| Ryan Kelly (DU) |
| reinjured right foot -Feb return |
| Jason Morris (GT) |
| plantar fasciitis - Feb return |
| John Auslander (MD) |
| left tibia fracture - out for season |
| Reggie Johnson (MI) |
| broken thumb - mid Feb return |
| Leslie McDonald (NC) |
| knee |
| Darion Atkins (VA) |
| shin splints |
| Marshall Wood (VT) |
| broken left foot |
Links
- Blue Devils to face tough ACC road challenge at Miami
- Kadji, Miami veterans will test Duke freshman Jefferson
- Duke Game Notes: vs. No. 25 Miami (Jan. 23, 2013)
- Who should start: Amile Jefferson or Josh Hairston?
- Wake Forest seizes the moment, upsets N.C. State
- Demon Deacons defeat Wolfpack 86-84
- Will UNC take Ga. Tech lightly? Only if they like to run, Roy warns
- In UNC, another test for Tech
- Deacons Reclaim Their Turf
- Wake Forest upsets No. 18 N.C. State
- Alex Len leads Terps in win over BC
- With Len drawing attention, Dez Wells could get more involved
Yesterday's Games
| Matchup | |
|---|---|
| NC State 84 @ Wake Forest 86 | Box |
| Boston College 59 @ Maryland 64 | Box |
Today's Games
| Time | Matchup | TV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00:00 PM | Duke @ Miami | ESPN | Preview |
| 9:00:00 PM | Georgia Tech @ UNC | ESPN | Preview |
