The countdown to the first real action of the season is upon us and its a marquee matchup.
The Champions classic brings us a heavyweight fight between Duke and Kentucky. There is no better way to start the college basketball season but previewing this game isn't going to be very easy Kentucky opens as the favorite and perhaps rightly so. Kentucky returns quite a bit from last years team including PJ Washington, Nick Richards and Quade Green. I expect at very least PJ Washington to be in the starting lineup on Tuesday. The Wildcats also bring in a wealth of talent and some experience in transfer Reid Travis. Travis will be a huge factor in what the Wildcats do this season and it all starts with Tuesday night. The Wildcats lost 74.8% of their scoring from last years team and the Blue Devils lost 92.6% making both teams nearly unrecognizable from last season.
Duke opens the season ranked 4th, while Kentucky begins the season ranked 2 behind the Kansas Jayhawks. The Blue Devils also bring in a wealth of talent but will be lacking in game experience with 4 of their 5 starters never having played against a Division I opponent. Duke will start 4 freshmen and either junior Marques Bolden or fellow junior Javin DeLaurier. Duke will go into this matchup with a distinct disadvantage size-wise but the disadvantage may play out differently on the offensive end. If Duke can effectively run its 5-out motion offense it could offset the rebounding advantage that Kentucky (at least on paper) could enjoy. There are several x-factors for both teams in this game and it will be who can shoot well from beyond the arc. Kentucky players have been dropping hints over social media, daring Duke to zone them but with the group that Coach K is currently enjoying, zone does not look the 2-3 zone needs to be the primary defense the Devils employ this year, this game may go a long way towards determining if that is indeed the case.
Kentucky, on paper should shoot better from beyond the arc than they have in previous years with freshman Tyler Herro in the lineup. The key for Herro is whether or not he will be able to effectively get his shot off against the perimeter defenders of Duke. If Duke can contain Herro then Kentucky, at least from beyond the arc, becomes pedestrian at best. Duke also comes into the season with perimeter shooting question marks. They will lean on Cam Reddish in the starting lineup and off the bench sophomore Alex O'Connell is the best 3-point shooting returnee from last year's squad.
The game could come down to several key factors:
- Which team is able to shoot a better percentage from beyond the arc?
- Can Duke "out talent" the Kentucky Wildcats?
- Can Duke stay close to the Wildcats on the boards?
- Will the depth that Kentucky features tire out a limited Duke bench?
- Which team establishes themselves on the defensive end?